Before 2030
Why it moved: +54 points at 17:32 UTC, after Engadget: Apple hit with a $5.7 billion verdict for alleged patent infringement — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the District Court for the District of New Jersey finds Apple responsible for any antitrust claims brought by the Department of Justice. It resolves to No if the court does not make such a finding before 2030. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the ruling must occur immediately rather than anytime before the year 2030.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 79%
- No 21%