Government wins
Implied probability 67%+26
24-hour volume$53
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$32k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 41% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon illegally maintained a monopoly by December 31, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amazon's AI tools as the basis for resolution, but only the specific court ruling determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%