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Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Implied probability 87%+3
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$76k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
0%50%100%87%10 Nov, 13:10 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now87%
12 Nov, 12:41 UTC87%
12 Nov, 12:21 UTC87%
12 Nov, 10:06 UTC87%
12 Nov, 08:37 UTC87%
12 Nov, 08:23 UTC88%
12 Nov, 01:32 UTC85%
12 Nov, 00:46 UTC84%
12 Nov, 00:05 UTC85%
11 Nov, 23:52 UTC84%
11 Nov, 23:18 UTC85%
11 Nov, 22:45 UTC85%
11 Nov, 16:25 UTC87%
11 Nov, 13:10 UTC84%
10 Nov, 13:10 UTC86%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Grand Theft Auto VI is the official winner of Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards. It resolves to No if another game wins, or if GTA VI fails to make the final nominee list when it is announced. Readers often mistake the presales news for a win, but only the award ceremony result matters.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 87%
  • No 14%

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