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Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?

Implied probability 14%−6
24-hour volume$40k
Total volume$70k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +43 points at 06:58 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Has Vivek Ramaswamy’s attack ad against Amy Acton backfired? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
0%50%100%14%22 Oct, 03:38 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now14%
24 Oct, 17:08 UTC14%
24 Oct, 16:54 UTC14%
24 Oct, 15:55 UTC29%
24 Oct, 15:27 UTC38%
24 Oct, 14:54 UTC40%
24 Oct, 14:20 UTC32%
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24 Oct, 11:57 UTC40%
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24 Oct, 10:10 UTC51%
24 Oct, 09:57 UTC51%
24 Oct, 09:22 UTC50%
24 Oct, 08:57 UTC51%
24 Oct, 08:29 UTC51%
24 Oct, 07:27 UTC56%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC55%
24 Oct, 04:25 UTC12%
24 Oct, 03:30 UTC20%
24 Oct, 01:38 UTC25%
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24 Oct, 00:59 UTC21%
23 Oct, 18:48 UTC20%
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23 Oct, 12:02 UTC21%
23 Oct, 07:47 UTC20%
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23 Oct, 00:55 UTC28%
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22 Oct, 23:27 UTC28%
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22 Oct, 18:56 UTC27%
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22 Oct, 07:36 UTC32%
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22 Oct, 05:53 UTC31%
22 Oct, 05:25 UTC31%
22 Oct, 03:38 UTC31%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy or his campaign publicly announces it is stopping the ad featuring Amy Acton's mother, or if credible reporting confirms this action, before October 31, 2026. The ad must be pulled from television airtime; simply removing it from social media or letting its scheduled run expire without an explicit pull does not count.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 14%
  • No 87%

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