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Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$29k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%50%100%0%12 Nov, 01:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
13 Nov, 01:23 UTC0%
12 Nov, 01:23 UTC0%

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What counts

Tesla must hold the third-highest market capitalization among all global companies at the exact moment the stock market closes on December 31, 2026, for the Yes outcome to trigger. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that rank at that specific time. Readers often mistake the resolution source, assuming it relies on a single financial website rather than a consensus of credible reporting.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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