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Rockets vs. Mavericks

Implied probability 48%+12
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves9 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +13 points at 14:23 UTC, after www.espn.com: Top scenes from Rockets, Mavs' trip to Macao, China, for preseason slate — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Rockets vs. Mavericks
0%50%100%48%7 Oct, 14:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now48%
8 Oct, 15:21 UTC48%
8 Oct, 14:23 UTC49%
7 Oct, 14:23 UTC37%

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What counts

The Rockets outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NBA game in Macao on October 9 at 8:00 AM ET, while the Mavericks outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score including overtime, and postponements keep the market open until the game is played. Readers often mistake the linked preseason headline for the actual resolution event instead of the specific October 9 game.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Rockets 48%
  • Mavericks 52%

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