Jets vs. Bears
Implied probability 37%−2
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$251k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 40% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Jets if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to Bears if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the Lions vs. Jets result in the linked story as relevant, but only the outcome of the specific Jets vs. Bears matchup counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Jets 37%
- Bears 64%
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