Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Germany?
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$19k
Resolved24 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 2% |
What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if the match ends with exactly 3 goals for each team after 90 minutes of regulation and stoppage time. The "No" outcome applies if any other scoreline is reached at that point. Readers often mistakenly include extra time or penalty shoot-outs, which do not count toward the final result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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