Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 11:47 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 09:10 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 10:37 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome depends on whether Christine Lagarde wins the 2027 French presidential election according to official results from the French Ministry of the Interior. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the winner as the end of the election period, but the market resolves based on the final certified result, not just early projections or consensus reporting.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 99%
Trade this market on Polymarket →