Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$42k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 12 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 100% |
| 11 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 100% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jacob Misiorowski is officially named the 2026 National League Cy Young Award winner by Major League Baseball. It resolves to No if any other player wins the award or if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked headline about a unanimous win as the final resolution, but only the official MLB announcement counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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