Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25?
Implied probability 11%−2
24-hour volume$117k
Total volume$133k
Liquidity$526k
Resolves25 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Sept, 22:26 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Türkiye wins the match against France on September 25, 2026, and to "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistakenly include extra time or penalty shootouts in the outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 90%
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