Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?
Implied probability 37%−3
24-hour volume$182k
Total volume$207k
Liquidity$554k
Resolves24 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 15:38 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Sept, 11:02 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 09:29 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 07:12 UTC | 39% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 40% |
| 22 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 41% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Netherlands wins the match within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game is canceled with no make-up, or if Netherlands does not win. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties for the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular play counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 64%
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