Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
The market favoured Club Atlético de Madrid at 68% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$65k
Total volume$65k
Liquidity$160k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 19% |
| 8 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Nov, 18:16 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Nov, 16:41 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Nov, 16:14 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Nov, 12:27 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Nov, 10:42 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Nov, 09:19 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 28% |
| 7 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 34% |
What counts
FC Barcelona wins if they beat Atlético Madrid by two goals or more in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Otherwise, Club Atlético de Madrid wins. Readers often mistake the source of truth; the market uses official La Liga statistics, not general news reports.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- FC Barcelona 0%
- Club Atlético de Madrid 100%
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