Chiefs vs. Raiders
Implied probability 67%+1
24-hour volume$90k
Total volume$140k
Liquidity$825k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 18:53 UTC | 68% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Chiefs outcome wins if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4 at 4:25 PM ET. The Raiders outcome wins if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Saints for the relevant event, but only the Chiefs-Raiders matchup counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Chiefs 67%
- Raiders 34%
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