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Will France win on 2026-09-28?

Implied probability 52%
24-hour volume$209k
Total volume$406k
Liquidity$753k
Resolves28 Sept 2026

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What counts

France wins if they score more goals than their opponent within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match on September 28, 2026. The market resolves to "No" if France loses, draws, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties for the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular play counts.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 52%
  • No 49%

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