Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe
The market favoured Frances Tiafoe at 80% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$168k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$26k
Resolved7 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 20:31 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 19% |
Outcomes
- Kei Nishikori 0%
- Frances Tiafoe 100%
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