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Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$422
Total volume$1.5M
Liquidity$93k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0%50%100%0%8 Nov, 17:44 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
8 Nov, 17:44 UTC0%

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What counts

For the Yes outcome, Hassan Khomeini must exercise primary governing control over Iran on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. For the No outcome, he does not hold this effective authority at that specific time and moment. Readers often mistake formal titles or international recognition for actual power, but only demonstrable control over the state matters.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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