Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?
Why it moved: −4 points at 21:25 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Gordon and Kane fire England to Nations League victory against 10-man Czechia — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 09:11 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 12% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Czechia wins the match scheduled for October 6, 2026, based on the score at the end of regular time plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if Czechia does not win or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the linked story about Spain and England as relevant, but this market depends solely on the outcome of the specific Czechia fixture.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%
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