Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 9 Oct, 05:07 UTC | 92% |
| 9 Oct, 04:53 UTC | 93% |
| 8 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 94% |
| 8 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 94% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 94% |
| 8 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 93% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 94% |
| 8 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 93% |
| 8 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 19:35 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 95% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on October 31, 2026, for the Yes outcome to occur. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story or a temporary price spike as the resolution point instead of the market close on the specified deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 93%
- No 7%
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