Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Implied probability 66%+3
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$60k
Liquidity$57k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 04:25 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Sept, 10:13 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 09:49 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Sept, 08:31 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Sept, 08:11 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 68% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Sept, 06:56 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 68% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia wins the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, and to "No" otherwise. The outcome depends on the number of seats won by the electoral list as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of party alliances or post-election organization.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 66%
- No 34%
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