Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 10%+9
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$62k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 11% |
| 20 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 11% |
| 19 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome requires Donald Trump to issue a formal executive order, sign legislation, or direct federal agencies like the U.S. Board on Geographic Names to use the new name by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if no such official directive occurs within that timeframe.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%
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