Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 12 Nov, 15:06 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Nov, 14:03 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Nov, 13:50 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Nov, 09:10 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Nov, 08:23 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Nov, 07:43 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Nov, 21:10 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Nov, 19:20 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 17:22 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 13:10 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 10:05 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Nov, 03:29 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 23:15 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Nov, 20:41 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 20:21 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 13:50 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 12:26 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 11:34 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 09:19 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 08:45 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 05:43 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 60% |
| 9 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 22:58 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 21:28 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 20:41 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 18:39 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 66% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez makes an explicit and unambiguous announcement that she is running for U.S. President by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement must come from her directly or be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, and it does not need to include filing nomination papers.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 41%
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