Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Why it moved: +7 points at 14:16 UTC, after BBC Business: What does the raise in interest rates mean? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 5 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Bank of England raises its interest rate by exactly 25 basis points during the December 17, 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. The No outcome applies to any other result, including no change or a different increase amount. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a recent rate hike for the relevant event, but only the decision from the specific December 2026 meeting counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 63%
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