Will Wales win on 2026-10-04?
Implied probability 30%+5
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 27 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 30% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 30% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 29% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 29% |
| 26 Sept, 20:43 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Wales wins the match scheduled for October 4, 2026, and No otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle or extra time as the deciding factor, but only the regulation time score counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 70%
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