Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Implied probability 2%−11
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$410k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 12% |
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What counts
Abstract must officially launch a token that is actively and publicly transferable by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Announcements do not count; the token must be tradable on a public exchange. Readers often mistake shutdown news for a failed launch or assume an announcement satisfies the requirement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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