Will Cleveland Guardians advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
Why it moved: +16 points at 14:23 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Yankees, Padres on Wrong Side of MLB History With Rare Stats from Playoff Exits — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Cleveland Guardians reach the American League Championship Series in the 2026 MLB Playoffs. It resolves to No if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs are cancelled or postponed past October 31, 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 70%
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