Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Implied probability 8%−11
24-hour volume$74k
Total volume$86k
Liquidity$37k
Resolves3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 09:33 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 03:31 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 16:58 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 13:33 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 10:55 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 09:36 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 09:29 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 02:38 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 16:42 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 06:28 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 04:22 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 01:00 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Max Verstappen is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA after the race concludes. The No outcome applies if any other driver finishes first according to that same official classification.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%
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