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James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$177k
Liquidity$49k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
0%50%100%1%26 Oct, 22:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
26 Oct, 22:56 UTC1%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if James Comey receives any jail or prison sentence by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he avoids such a sentence, if all charges are dropped, or if the deadline passes without a qualifying conviction. Readers often mistake civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, or mere charges for a prison sentence, which do not count toward resolution.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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