Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
The market favoured No at 90% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$27k
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −10 points at 10:59 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Formula One 2026 – live — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 11% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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