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Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?

Implied probability 95%−2
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves12 Feb 2027

Why it moved: −3 points at 12:14 UTC, after www.espn.com: NBA Rank 2026: Where LeBron, Steph, KD check in — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?
0%50%100%95%22 Sept, 12:14 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now95%
23 Sept, 19:01 UTC95%
23 Sept, 18:54 UTC95%
23 Sept, 18:25 UTC95%
23 Sept, 17:45 UTC95%
23 Sept, 17:25 UTC95%
23 Sept, 16:49 UTC95%
23 Sept, 16:27 UTC95%
23 Sept, 15:31 UTC95%
23 Sept, 15:24 UTC95%
23 Sept, 12:31 UTC95%
23 Sept, 12:14 UTC95%
22 Sept, 12:14 UTC98%

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What counts

The market resolves based on which team Steph Curry officially joins by February 11, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. If he does not join a new team by that deadline, the outcome is Yes (Golden State Warriors). Readers often mistake the resolution date for the end of the NBA season or assume retirement counts as joining a team.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 95%
  • No 5%

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