Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Implied probability 24%−11
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$78k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 16:14 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 08:19 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 23:13 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 22:59 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 20:31 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 16:43 UTC | 39% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome applies if the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister is a member of the PSD party. The No outcome applies if that Prime Minister belongs to any other party or group. Readers often mistake the deadline, which is December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, for the date of the linked news story.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%
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