Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia
The market favoured Australia at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$254k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$18k
Resolved7 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 10:14 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 47% |
What counts
The market resolves based on who wins the scheduled One Day International cricket match between South Africa and Australia. If the game ends in a tie with no Super Over or similar tiebreaker, the outcome is split evenly. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which occurs two hours after the match concludes if official statistics are not yet published.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- South Africa 0%
- Australia 100%
View this market on Polymarket →