Will Sale Sharks win?
Why it moved: +75 points at 16:42 UTC, after SkySports: Sale defy Vermeulen's first-half red card to beat Saracens — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 25% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sale Sharks wins the match scheduled for October 4, 2026, based on the score after 80 minutes of regular play. It resolves to No if they lose, draw, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the final result of a postponed or delayed game as the resolution trigger, but the market only counts the outcome after full regular time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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