Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Why it moved: −7 points at 11:56 UTC, after SI Feed: How Does Ballon d’Or Voting Work? 2026 Nominees and Format Explained — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Kylian Mbappé is officially ranked third in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or. The No outcome applies if he finishes anywhere other than third place. Readers often mistake the ceremony date for the deadline, but the market resolves based on the official ranking published by France Football or UEFA.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%
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