Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Why it moved: +4 points at 15:28 UTC, after The Guardian US: Nashville clinches playoffs, Philadelphia wins after going down 0-3: MLS roundup — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 18:32 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 22% |
| 19 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 18% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Nashville SC wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if Nashville becomes mathematically eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake playoff qualification for championship victory, but only winning the final match counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%
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