Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
The market favoured No at 87% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$244k
Total volume$559k
Liquidity$81k
Resolved18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 14:02 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Oct, 08:19 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Oct, 04:53 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 18:39 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 18:08 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 18% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 34% |
| 9 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 13% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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