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Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability 11%−17
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −17 points at 22:48 UTC, after The Hollywood Reporter: Barry Diller Drops $18 Billion MGM Resorts Takeover Plan — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
0%50%100%11%22 Sept, 22:47 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now11%
24 Sept, 00:23 UTC11%
23 Sept, 23:55 UTC10%
23 Sept, 23:27 UTC10%
23 Sept, 22:48 UTC11%
22 Sept, 22:47 UTC28%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if credible reporting confirms an acquisition agreement by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announced agreement counts as a win even if the deal never completes. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2027 or assume only completed deals count.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 11%
  • No 89%

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