Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Implied probability 24%+4
24-hour volume$16k
Total volume$278k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 25% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 24% |
| 23 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 24% |
| 23 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 24% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 16% |
| 22 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 16% |
| 22 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 19:31 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 18% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 06:30 UTC | 31% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, Kim Jong Un must meet Donald Trump in person between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if this specific encounter does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline or ignore the requirement for a direct, in-person interaction.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%
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