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Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?

Implied probability 46%+1
24-hour volume$28
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
0%50%100%46%8 Nov, 20:25 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now46%
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8 Nov, 20:25 UTC38%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The market resolves based on which company holds the second-highest Lab Rank on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard at noon ET on November 30, 2026. Readers must check the specific "Labs" filter on that site, as models marked "AutoEval" do not count toward the ranking. The most common error is ignoring the exact deadline or using a different leaderboard source.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 46%
  • No 54%

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