Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$79k
Liquidity$65k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 20:16 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves by checking the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026. The outcome is Yes if DeepSeek owns the model with the highest rank; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the news headline for the resolution source or ignore the requirement to exclude AutoEval models.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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