Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$47k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 02:01 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 14:46 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 01:39 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 13:15 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, Masoud Pezeshkian must exercise primary governing authority over Iran on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET, regardless of his official title. For the No outcome, he must not hold this effective control at that specific time. Readers often mistake formal recognition or international status for actual power, but only demonstrable domestic control over the state counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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