Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 75% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$104k
Total volume$108k
Liquidity$226k
Resolved24 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 100% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 26% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and "No" otherwise. The official final result from the governing body determines the outcome, with secondary data sources used only if that information is delayed. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution or overlook that post-match score revisions do not change the settled result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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