Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 2% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight Paddy Pimblett in a UFC bout with a scheduled date before February 28, 2027. The No outcome applies if he is announced to face any other fighter or if no qualifying announcement is made by that deadline. Readers often mistake unofficial speculation for the official UFC announcement required to resolve the market.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →