Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Jack Barton receives an official announcement as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves based on the first official confirmation from Amazon MGM Studios or credible reporting consensus, regardless of any subsequent changes. Readers often mistake the deadline for a different date or assume that rumors and dismissals count as an announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%
Trade this market on Polymarket →