Capitals vs. Hurricanes
The market favoured Hurricanes at 59% a day out, but Capitals won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$104k
Total volume$39
Liquidity$14k
Resolved2 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 42% |
What counts
The market resolves to Capitals if they win the game on October 2, and to Hurricanes if they win. The result depends on the final score after overtime or shootouts, where one goal is added to the winner's total for calculation purposes. Readers often mistake the deadline, as postponed games keep the market open until completion rather than closing it immediately.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Capitals 100%
- Hurricanes 0%
View this market on Polymarket →