Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 11:05 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 09:12 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 07:10 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 10:07 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 08:16 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 18:32 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 15:10 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 11:35 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Xi Jinping resigns, is dismissed, detained, or loses his position as General Secretary between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if he retains his role throughout this entire period. Readers often mistake the end date of the market for the deadline to announce a resignation rather than the deadline for the event itself.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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