Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Implied probability 53%+3
24-hour volume$45k
Total volume$74k
Liquidity$312k
Resolves10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 10 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 53% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 51% |
| 10 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 50% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 51% |
| 10 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 50% |
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What counts
Real Madrid CF wins if they beat Villarreal by two goals or more in regular time and stoppage. Villarreal CF wins if Real Madrid does not achieve that margin. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but the official final score on laliga.com decides the outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Real Madrid CF 53%
- Villarreal CF 48%
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