Bengals vs. Falcons
The market favoured Bengals at 62% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.1M
Total volume$56k
Liquidity$235k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 8 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Nov, 17:07 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Nov, 12:07 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 62% |
What counts
The Bengals outcome wins if they win the scheduled November 8 game against the Falcons, including any overtime. The Falcons outcome wins if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the Madrid visit for the actual contest, but only the NFL game played on November 8 counts toward resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bengals 100%
- Falcons 0%
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