Will Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 12 Nov, 22:40 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the US federal government formally charges or publicly announces an indictment against Alice Huang by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Charges must name her individually; actions against her company Megaspeed International, civil suits, or sanctions do not count. Readers often mistake sealed charges for valid outcomes, but only unsealed or publicly announced charges qualify.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 94%
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