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Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Implied probability 46%+2
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%50%100%46%22 Oct, 17:53 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now46%
23 Oct, 20:19 UTC46%
23 Oct, 19:57 UTC46%
23 Oct, 19:12 UTC45%
23 Oct, 18:56 UTC45%
23 Oct, 18:14 UTC46%
23 Oct, 17:53 UTC47%
22 Oct, 17:53 UTC45%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

Yes resolves if Max Verstappen is officially listed first in the Final Classification published by the FIA after the race concludes. No resolves if any other driver holds that top spot in the same official document. Readers often mistake the podium ceremony order or post-race disqualifications for the final result, but only the initial FIA classification counts.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 46%
  • No 54%

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